Race & COVID19 Survival Rates

Image of APM Research Lab’s page this summer

Crude Mortality Rate

Whenever the mortality rate for X group is discussed, it’s presented as the rate per 100K people of X group, & the term disproportionate is generally applied when stating that X group represents 20.9% of deaths though Hispanics only make up 18.3% of the population. That’s the crude mortality rate.

Survival Rate/ Case Fatality Rate

A far less reported statistic is the survival rate, or — if you reverse it — the case fatality rate. The survival rate/ case fatality rate is is calculated by the number of confirmed deaths divided by the number of confirmed cases that are no longer cases (either due to mortality or recovery). When considering the chance that COVID19+ Hispanic, Black, or Asian minorities will die compared to White cases, there is no significant difference.

Race Doesn’t Influence COVID19 Survival Rates

Minorities have been disproportionately affected by COVID19 relative to Whites, but the survival rate among infected individuals does not differ by ethnoracial background. Consider the following (please note that the month is provided for each citation rather than the year… because obviously):

Per WSJ: https://www.wsj.com/articles/doctors-begin-to-crack-covids-mysterious-long-term-effects-11604252961?mod=hp_lead_pos5

XX Advantage

Note that nearly all of these race/ethnicity focused investigations casually documented women’s higher survival rate — adding to the chorus of research highlighting the XX advantage in this pandemic (Chakravarty et al., 2020; Conti et al., 2020; Di Stadio et al., 2020; Jin et al., 2020; Nascimento et al., 2020; Richardson et al., 2020; Wang et al., 2020; Wenham et al., 2020; Zhao et al., 2020; Zijian et al., 2020).

via CNN



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Dr. Jarryd Willis PhD

Dr. Jarryd Willis PhD

I'm passionate about making a tangible difference in the lives of others, & that's something I have the opportunity to do a professor & researcher.